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Six years with USAID’s Trade and Investment Facilitation project

From 2020 to 2026 Nicolas Photiades and Dr. Ghassan Chammas served as senior expert consultants to the USAID Lebanon Trade and Investment Facilitation (TIF) project, implemented by DAI Global — selected and re-engaged year after year through one of the most rigorous vetting processes in international development.

6
consecutive years as senior expert consultants, 2020–2026
19
transaction-advisory studies with independent valuations
23
monthly investment contextual reports
6
concept notes for funds and financing facilities

Milestones

Every task order, study series and institution the programme produced, in order.

  • Engagement
  • Transaction advisory
  • Research
  • Institution built
  • Concept note
  1. Nov 2020

    Subcontract with DAI under USAID/TIF

    Orion is engaged to support TIF Objective 2 — investment facilitation — with pipeline identification and transaction advisory for Lebanese companies.

    Engagement
  2. Dec 2020

    Market-volume and ticket-size study

    Estimation of transaction volumes across TIF sectors and the probability distribution of ticket sizes, as the basis for a master fund.

    Concept note
  3. 2021–2023

    Transaction advisory, first round

    Nine full studies — business plan, market analysis, financial reconstruction and independent valuation — for manufacturers in water bottling, kitchens and furniture, food processing and apparel.

    Transaction advisory
  4. 2021–2022

    Solar energy for commercial and industrial users

    Supply-side landscape of Lebanese solar providers and a full commercial and industrial solar assessment.

    Research
  5. Feb 2022 – May 2023

    Investment Contextual Report, first series

    Sixteen monthly issues on bank restructuring, capital controls, ratings, insurance, sovereign wealth funds, water and food security.

    Research
  6. Aug 2022

    Factoring and reverse factoring facility

    Task order to design and operate a factoring brokerage, connecting Lebanese exporters and importers with foreign factors and credit insurers.

    Engagement
  7. Oct 2022

    Levant Trading Solutions SAL established

    A factoring brokerage registered in Beirut to fill the gap left by an incapacitated banking sector; owned by the Orion partners.

    Institution built
  8. May 2023

    First-loss guarantee for the factoring facility

    Analysis of a first-loss guarantee as credit enhancement for the facility and its effect on food security.

    Concept note
  9. Aug 2023

    Second transaction-advisory round and factoring phase 2

    Two new task orders: a further round of company studies, and the second phase of the factoring facility — training, import mapping, pilot and outreach.

    Engagement
  10. Aug 2023 – Feb 2024

    Investment Contextual Report, second series

    Seven issues on privatisation, corporate bonds, the failure of the banking model, depositors and the Capital Markets Authority.

    Research
  11. Dec 2023

    Pilot export-factoring transaction

    First credit-insured factoring of a Lebanese food exporter’s receivables through Levant Trading Solutions.

    Transaction advisory
  12. 2023–2025

    Transaction advisory, second round

    Ten studies and valuations for manufacturers of plastic pipes and packaging, personal and household care, olive oil, traditional foods and electronic test equipment.

    Transaction advisory
  13. Aug 2024

    Lebanese SME profiling and indicators compendium

    Proposal for a data platform built from the programme’s company studies, for decision-making, monitoring and evaluation.

    Concept note
  14. Sep 2024

    Programme findings presented to TIF

    Findings from the transaction-advisory work: governance, succession and financial-policy gaps, and the transactions they unlock.

    Research
  15. Nov 2024

    Trade-finance fund with Ellinas Finance

    Memorandum of understanding to co-manage a Cyprus-domiciled fund dedicated to export factoring for Lebanese industry — the Lebanon Trade Finance Support Fund.

    Institution built
  16. Jan 2025

    2025–2027 work programme proposed

    Proposal for the next phase, including a management assessment and training programme for SMEs.

    Engagement

What the company studies revealed

The transaction-advisory programme was more than a series of investor decks. It was the first full financial restructuring advice most of these companies had ever received.

Lebanese manufacturers share a common denominator: little financial flexibility and weak internal growth. Ownership has been diluted across third and fourth generations who disagree on strategy; financial policies are rudimentary; assets and franchises sit under-used, long pledged to banks that no longer lend. Many companies have reached the size at which they serve their owners rather than their growth.

Each study rebuilt the balance sheet and income statement, valued the company independently and identified the transaction that fits it — and in doing so opened a dialogue with investors that the banks had blocked for years.

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The independent, programme-endorsed valuation proved decisive. Direct negotiations between owners and investors had generally failed over price, with owners confusing book value with real value; a credible third-party valuation turned those conversations into transactions. The studies identified five families of transaction: capital increases for capital-intensive growth; long-term debt from international finance institutions, for whom the study doubled as a full credit analysis; working-capital debt alongside equity; outright sale or vertical and horizontal integration; and strategic partnerships with foreign distributors or brands willing to white-label Lebanese products. Some studies were accompanied by a corporate-governance charter.

The programme also showed what the next step must be: a management assessment and training programme covering internal structure, delegation, performance indicators, succession, digital market access and a fair salary scale — the proposal Orion submitted for 2025–2027.

Concept notes

Funds and facilities designed by Orion to replace the financing that Lebanese banks could no longer provide.

  • Master fund

    Umbrella vehicle sized on TIF-sector transaction volumes and ticket distribution.

  • Recapitalisation fund

    Private equity and working-capital fund to recapitalise viable Lebanese companies.

  • Factoring facility

    Factoring and reverse factoring for exporters and raw-material importers, with credit insurance.

  • Solar energy for commercial and industrial users

    Financing structure for rooftop and on-site solar in factories and businesses.

  • Solar energy for villages

    Ownership and financing structure for village-scale solar plants paid per kWh consumed.

  • Energy fund for industry

    National fund structure to finance the energy transition of Lebanese industry.

19 company studies and valuations

Each study rebuilt the company’s balance sheet and income statement, set out a business plan, valued the company independently and identified the transaction that fits: capital increase, long-term or working-capital debt, sale, strategic partnership or factoring. Company names remain confidential.

  • Mineral water bottling: 2 studies
  • Kitchens and wardrobes: 2 studies
  • Furniture and wood crafts: 1 study
  • Canned foods and Lebanese specialties: 2 studies
  • Traditional foods and pickles: 2 studies
  • Olive oil: 1 study
  • Knitwear and apparel: 1 study
  • Plastic pipes and fittings: 1 study
  • Plastic packaging: 1 study
  • Personal and household care: 1 study
  • Electronic test equipment: 1 study
  • Other manufacturing: 4 studies

Beyond the task orders

Reports written for the programme without remuneration.

  • Proposal of assistance on IMF-related issues
  • Objective 3 key regulatory reform proposal
  • Mapping of Lebanese and diaspora investors
  • Estimation of TIF-sector transaction market volume

The twenty-three monthly contextual reports are published in full.

Read the contextual reports